Hawaii Governor winner?
In 2026
$8.5K Vol.Closes Nov 3, 2027
Democratic party$6.4K Vol.96%
Republican party$2.1K Vol.7%
In 2026
The 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election will determine the next governor of Hawaii on November 3, 2026, with incumbent Democrat Josh Green seeking a second term against Republican Gary Cordery.
The race features Democratic incumbent Josh Green and Republican candidate Gary Cordery as the sole candidates who have filed for the office.
Hawaii uses a single ballot system where all candidates run regardless of party affiliation, and the candidate with the most votes wins without a need for a majority.
A Democratic victory would maintain Hawaii's status as a solidly Democratic state, while a Republican win would mark a significant political shift in the island chain's governance.
Note: The election will be held on November 3, 2026, and the market resolves based on which party's representative is inaugurated as governor following that election.
Democratic incumbent Josh Green has filed for a second term and faces no serious challengers, with approval ratings reported in the 70s.
Wikipediayoutube.comThe only candidates who have filed to run for Governor of Hawaii are Democrat Josh Green and Republican Gary Cordery, with neither facing a primary opponent.
hawaiifreepress.comPrimary elections for the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race.
General election for the Governor of Hawaii.
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Incumbent Josh Green holds approval ratings in the 70s, indicating strong public support that typically favors election success.
youtube.comHawaii is classified as a "Solid D" (Democratic) state with a D+13 partisan lean, making a Democratic victory highly probable.
WikipediaGreen faces no primary opponent and no major Democratic challenger, consolidating his position as the clear party nominee.
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Gary Cordery lacks a primary opponent, which may hurt his ability to claim public funds for a primary campaign and limit his early fundraising.
hawaiifreepress.comHistorical data shows Green won the 2022 election with 63.2% of the vote against Duke Aiona, suggesting a high baseline for Democratic performance that Cordery must overcome.
BallotpediaWikipediaNo significant Republican challengers have filed besides Cordery, indicating a lack of broader Republican mobilization in the state.
AI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.