On Jul 31, 2026
UST make-or-break moment, basis IEF weekly close. Hypothetical downside equates to roughly 5.75% 10-year yield. Hypothetical near-term strength despite Mideast tensions would support a contrarian bullish case.
Oil jumped 4.3% as the US and Iran traded attacks again. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed. The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed. Spot gold rose 0.9%. Bitcoin fell 0.1%
17/07/2026: Russian 10-year debt yield increased slightly to 16.75%. 👉 All-time record: 16.89% on 31/10/2024 👉 2026 record: 16.75% on 17/07/2026 Annual record! 🥳 🎉 Russia should now find it more expensive to borrow. And they need a lot of money.
The UK 10-year gilt yield was little changed at 4.95%, hovering near a two-month high and on track for a third consecutive weekly gain, its longest winning streak since early March, when markets reacted to the outbreak of the Iran war.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note steadied around 4.56% on Friday and was on track to finish the week little changed
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbed to around 2.73% on Friday, rising for a second consecutive session as oil prices surged this week
The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced 1 bps to 4.56%. WTI crude fell 0.7%. Spot gold fell 2.1%. Bitcoin fell 1.1%.
They are much more tied to the 10-year Treasury yield, mortgage-backed securities market, inflation expectations, and risk premiums. That is why you can have the Fed holding rates steady (or even cutting) while mortgage rates rise.
The UK 10-year gilt yield held around 4.97%, close to the near two-month high reached earlier this week, as resilient economic data and higher oil prices reinforced expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates later this year
'The UK’s borrowing costs have sailed past 5% for only the 3rd time since the onset of Iran war, in a headache for Andy Burnham just days before he enters Downing Street. “The yield on the UK’s 10-year govt bond climbed by as much as 7 basis points on Tues morn' www.cityam.com/borrowing-co...
US 10-Year Yield Rises 2.3 Basis Points to 4.61%, 2-Year Rate Climbs 2.6 Basis Points to 4.22% Early Wednesday https://finwires.com/en/article/us-10-year-yield-rises-2-3-basis-points-4-61-2-year-rate-6966816
China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.73% on Wednesday, reaching its lowest level in more than two weeks as investors increased expectations on further policy support to shore up economic growth.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note hovered around 4.59% on Wednesday after softer-than-expected US inflation.
Pushed by higher oil prices (Brent around $86.50), UK 10-year yield has broken above 5% (CNBC chart below). Neither the surge in energy prices nor more onerous borrowing costs will be welcomed by incoming PM Andy Burnham, who is already set to inherit a challenging economic landscape. #UK #economy
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 2.75% on Tuesday,after Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said the country’s massive pension fund would adjust its holdings if necessary, while proposing the inclusion of government bonds in a tax-free investment program for individual investors
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held around 4.62% on Tuesday, hovering near two-month highs
The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced 5 bps to 4.61%, highest in 2 months. WTI crude rose 8.9% to $77.76 a barrel. Bitcoin fell 3%. Spot gold fell 2.8%.Brent crude topped $83
These numbers going up are good. Russia 10-year bond yield increased from 16.17% to 16.35% today as well. Will be interesting to see repo tomorrow and what happens in the bond auction on Wednesday.
The 10-year bond yield has breached 4.60% and the 30-year fixed mortgage could move back to 6.75%. That'd match a war-time high, last seen about two months ago, though it's important to remember a lot is already baked in. So rates might have limited upside risk and more downside potential.
The 10-year yield is over 4.6%!
AI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.