Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
$18.7K Vol.Closes Aug 18, 2026
Nick Begich III$1.6K Vol.99%
Bill Hill$3.6K Vol.96%
John Williams$3.1K Vol.71%
Matt Schultz$3.2K Vol.66%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams$3.1K Vol.33%
Gavin Solomon$4K Vol.1%
Incumbent U.S. Representative Nick Begich III is competing in Alaska’s August 18, 2026, nonpartisan “top-four” primary to determine which candidates advance to the ranked-choice general election for the state’s at-large House seat.
The race includes Begich (Republican incumbent) and 14 challengers, notably Democrats Matt Schultz and Bill Hill, who are jointly campaigning on an anti-incumbent platform.
Begich won the seat in 2024 by narrowly defeating Democrat Mary Peltola, flipping Alaska’s sole congressional seat back to Republicans for the first time since 1972.
WikipediaWikipediaAdvancing to the general election secures Begich’s chance to retain Alaska’s only U.S. House seat, while failure would end his single-term tenure and potentially return the seat to Democratic control.
Note: The market resolves based on official results from the Alaska Division of Elections; if Begich fails to secure one of the top four spots, the market resolves to "No."
President Donald Trump formally endorsed Nick Begich III for reelection to Alaska’s U.S. House seat in 2026, boosting his visibility among Republican voters.
ktoo.orgCandidates Matt Schultz and Bill Hill have mounted a coordinated challenge against Nick Begich III, arguing he has not adequately represented ordinary Alaskans and has supported key Trump administration policies.
alaskabeacon.comIncumbent Republican Nick Begich III is defending his seat against 14 challengers in the upcoming nonpartisan primary, including David Ambrose and Bill Hill.
alaskapublic.orgAlaska At-Large nonpartisan primary election occurs, with the top four vote-getters advancing to the general election.
elections.alaska.govalaskapublic.orgAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Begich holds strong name recognition as part of Alaska’s most famous political dynasty, with his grandfather Nick Begich Sr. and uncle Mark Begich previously serving as Democratic Congressman and Senator, respectively.
Wikipediayoutube.comHe received a formal endorsement from President Donald Trump for the 2026 reelection, signaling strong support from the national Republican base in Alaska.
ktoo.orgAs the incumbent, Begich has raised over $1.3 million in campaign funds with $655,420 cash on hand, providing significant financial resources for a crowded primary.
ABC NewsAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Begich faces a unified anti-incumbent challenge from Matt Schultz and Bill Hill, who argue he has failed ordinary Alaskans and supported Trump policies that cut food stamps and Medicaid.
alaskabeacon.comHe won the 2024 election by only 2.44 percentage points (7,876 votes), indicating a narrow margin that could be vulnerable in a top-four primary with 15 total candidates.
ktoo.orgThe national Democratic Party has designated Alaska as a top target for 2026, suggesting increased organizational effort to defeat Begich despite no formal challengers yet signing up to run against him.
AI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.