Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
$27.4K Vol.Closes Jan 10, 2027
30.0-34.9%$5.9K Vol.37%
25-29.9%$7.5K Vol.35%
35–39.9%$2.2K Vol.8%
45%+$2.8K Vol.4%
40-44.9%$2.6K Vol.3%
<20%$3.8K Vol.2%
20-24.9%$2.6K Vol.1%
New signals coming soon
We're building signal widgets tailored to markets like this one. Please check back later.
Argentina is tracking its year-over-year Consumer Price Index change for the 12-month period ending December 2026 to determine if annual inflation falls within the 30.0–34.9% band.
tradingeconomics.comriotimesonline.comThe National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina is the official body reporting the CPI data that resolves this outcome.
tradingeconomics.comriotimesonline.comAnnual inflation has plateaued around 33% in early-to-mid 2026 after falling from triple-digit levels in late 2023, despite a recent monthly slowdown in May.
tradingeconomics.comriotimesonline.comimf.orgConfirming inflation in the 30.0–34.9% range would indicate that President Milei’s austerity and trade liberalization policies have stabilized prices but failed to meet the aggressive 10.1% official target for the year.
riotimesonline.comimf.orgNote: The 30.0–34.9% band relies on the annual rate not falling below 30%, which requires the monthly inflation rates in the final quarter of 2026 to remain high enough to prevent the annualized figure from dropping further despite the recent monthly slowdown.
Annual inflation accelerated to 33.1% from 32.4% in February, driven by utility rate hikes and food prices, widening the gap with President Milei’s 2026 budget target of 10.1%.
riotimesonline.comBloombergMay's headline inflation dropped to 2.1% month-over-month, the lowest level in eight months and below market expectations.
bbvaresearch.comArgentina's annual inflation rate rose to 33.50% in June, increasing from 33.20% in May 2026.
tradingeconomics.comJuly 2026 INDEC CPI report expected to release later this month, providing the next monthly data point toward the year-end figure.
tradingeconomics.combbvaresearch.comNo confirmed upcoming catalysts strictly between July 19 and December 2026 with specific dates beyond the monthly INDEC schedule.
tradingeconomics.combbvaresearch.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Annual inflation has remained stubbornly within the 33.1%–33.6% range from February through May 2026, suggesting a plateau that makes the 30.0–34.9% band the most statistically probable outcome.
riotimesonline.comBloombergpolymarket.comTradingEconomics global macro models and analyst expectations project the rate to be 32.00% by the end of Q3 2026, which sits directly inside the 30.0–34.9% range.
tradingeconomics.comThe Polymarket consensus currently assigns a 44% probability to the 30.0–34.9% outcome, making it the leading prediction among traders compared to the 35% probability for the 25–29.9% band.
polymarket.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
BBVA Research maintains a year-end inflation forecast of 29% for 2026, which falls into the lower 25–29.9% band, citing a persistent disinflation trend driven by normalized gasoline prices.
bbvaresearch.comThe IMF projects end-of-period inflation for 2026 to fall to around 25% annually, reflecting a gradual resumption of the disinflation process supported by tight monetary and fiscal policies.
imf.orgMonthly inflation decelerated to 2.1% in May and is projected to drop to 2.0% in June, indicating that the downward trend may accelerate enough to push the annual figure below the 30% threshold.
tradingeconomics.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.