MD-04 House Election Winner
$37.4K Vol.Closes Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party$12.2K Vol.94%
Republican Party$25.2K Vol.2%
The Democratic Party is expected to win the MD-04 U.S. House seat because incumbent Glenn Ivey has already secured the party's nomination in the primary.
The race features Democrat Glenn Ivey against Republican George E. McDermott for the November 3, 2026 general election ballot.
MD-04 covers parts of Prince George's County, a deep-blue suburb of Washington, D.C., where Ivey won 88.4% of the vote in the 2024 general election.
WikipediaLosing this seat would require the Democratic Party to lose a district where the incumbent previously garnered nearly 90% of the vote, an outcome considered highly improbable barring a political earthquake.
mdbaynews.comNote: Since the Democratic primary concluded with Ivey's victory, the general election outcome is statistically locked to the Democratic Party unless Ivey resigns or dies before the election.
The June 23, 2026 Democratic primary was confirmed as the decisive contest for MD-04, with multiple challengers lining up against Ivey in one of the most Democratic districts in the state.
mdbaynews.comRepublicans in the district fielded a single candidate, George E. McDermott, to oppose the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election.
mdbaynews.comIncumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey won the MD-04 Democratic primary with 59% of votes and a +64 point margin in key districts, effectively securing the seat for the Democratic Party.
New York TimesAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
MD-04 is ranked as one of the most Democratic districts in Maryland, with Ivey winning 88.2% of the vote in the 2024 general election.
BallotpediaIvey won the 2022 election with 90.1% of the vote, demonstrating overwhelming historical dominance in the district.
WikipediaIvey secured 59% of the 2026 primary vote with a massive lead over challengers, confirming his status as the clear favorite to represent Democrats in November.
New York TimesAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Ivey faces a crowded primary field of multiple Democratic challengers, including Shavonne Hedgepeth and Jonathan White, which historically introduces volatility even in safe seats.
mdbaynews.comThe district includes diverse suburban municipalities like Laurel and Suitland where shifting demographic trends could theoretically impact turnout, though no current data suggests a Republican path.
WikipediaWhile Republicans fielded only one candidate, George McDermott, a single-party primary for the opposition limits their ability to consolidate resources against a well-funded incumbent.
mdbaynews.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.