MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
$36.5K Vol.Closes Aug 4, 2026
Jeremy Moss$15.1K Vol.84%
Aisha Farooqi$12.2K Vol.13%
Dave Woodward$933.8 Vol.<1%
Andy Levin$5.3K Vol.<1%
Don Ufford$3K Vol.<1%
Michigan Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss is leading a competitive Democratic primary for the MI-11 U.S. House seat on August 4, 2026.
The race features Moss against challengers Aisha Farooqi, Andy Levin, Dave Woodward, Don Ufford, and John Paul Torres.
The incumbent Haley Stevens is not running, opening a "Solid Democratic" district that previously held a 61.6% Democratic advantage.
octagonai.coWikipediaWinning the nomination determines which candidate contests the 2026 midterm election for a House seat in a district that is heavily favored for Democrats.
Note: The market resolves to "Other" if no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, though the primary is scheduled for August 4.
Mid-April reports highlighted Moss's fundraising dominance with nearly $1 million raised and $572,000 cash on hand, far outpacing rivals like Don Ufford and Aisha Farooqi.
polymarket.comJeremy Moss secured an endorsement from the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, bolstering his organization as the Democratic frontrunner for the MI-11 nomination.
polymarket.comCurrent polling and prediction markets show Moss commanding approximately 80% trader consensus to win the August 4 Democratic primary.
polymarket.comoctagonai.coThe Democratic primary election for Michigan's 11th Congressional District takes place, determining the nominee.
octagonai.coAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Moss has raised nearly $1 million with $572,000 cash on hand, significantly outpacing Don Ufford ($672,000 raised) and Aisha Farooqi ($269,000 raised).
polymarket.comAs Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from strong organizational infrastructure and high-profile endorsements, including the recent support of the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund.
polymarket.comPrediction markets and models consistently identify Moss as the clear frontrunner with 79–84% odds of winning the nomination due to his fundraising and endorsement strength.
polymarket.comoctagonai.copredictionedge.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Don Ufford remains a competitive financial threat with $672,000 raised and $347,000 cash on hand, though still trailing Moss's total.
polymarket.comAisha Farooqi, an attorney with prior experience running for Michigan's 57th House district, persists in the race despite raising significantly less than Moss at $269,000.
polymarket.comWikipediaAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.