NJ-10 House Election Winner
$28K Vol.Closes Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party$13.8K Vol.95%
Republican Party$14.2K Vol.6%
The NJ-10 congressional district will hold its general election on November 3, 2026, to determine the party of the next U.S. House representative.
The race features Democratic incumbent LaMonica McIver against Republican candidate Carmen Bucco.
The district is centered on Newark with a plurality African American population and has been held by Democrats since 2018.
WikipediaThe outcome determines whether Democrats retain a stronghold in Essex County or if Republicans capture a seat that has not elected a Republican in decades.
Note: The forecast rating of "Toss-up" from pollsmax.com contrasts sharply with McIver's historical 74.4% vote share, suggesting analyst uncertainty about the 2026 national political environment rather than a change in local district demographics.
McIver was previously re-elected to the seat with 74.4% of the vote after winning a special election to replace late incumbent Donald Payne Jr..
Wikipedianjspotlightnews.orgDemocratic incumbent LaMonica McIver won the NJ-10 primary with 84.7% of the vote, defeating no significant challenger.
deepsyte.appRepublican perennial candidate Carmen Bucco won the NJ-10 Republican primary uncontested, securing the general election matchup against McIver.
deepsyte.appThe general election for the U.S. House of Representatives in New Jersey's 10th district takes place.
AI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
The incumbent, LaMonica McIver, won her 2024 re-election with 74.4% of the vote, demonstrating overwhelming dominance in the district.
WikipediaMcIver secured 84.7% of the vote in the June 2026 Democratic primary, indicating strong unity and support within her party base.
deepsyte.appThe district has a plurality African American population and is centered on Newark, a demographic and geographic base that historically favors Democratic candidates.
WikipediaAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
Some forecast models rate the 2026 matchup between McIver and Bucco as a "Toss-up" with projected vote shares of 50.0% for each party.
pollsmax.comRepublican candidate Carmen Bucco is a "perennial candidate," suggesting he may have prior campaign experience and established name recognition in the area.
pollsmax.comMcIver faced an indictment from the Trump administration, which some analysts suggest could mobilize opposition despite also potentially energizing her liberal base.
newjerseyglobe.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.