Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$82.6K Vol.Closes Aug 6, 2026
Jerri Green$44.1K Vol.89%
Carnita Atwater$6.3K Vol.9%
Tim Cyr$14.1K Vol.<1%
Kevin Lee McCants$11.6K Vol.<1%
Adam Kurtz$6.5K Vol.<1%
The Democratic primary for Governor of Tennessee is scheduled for August 6, 2026, to select the nominee who will face the Republican candidate in the general election.
WikipediaThe field includes declared candidates Jerri Green (Memphis City Councilor), Carnita Atwater (museum president and past candidate), Tim Cyr (business owner), Kevin Lee McCants, and Adam Kurtz (musician).
Wikipediatennesseelookout.comJerri Green is the first Democrat to formally enter the race and is widely regarded as the frontrunner due to her name recognition and current polling lead in a field with high undecided voter sentiment.
tennesseelookout.comtri-statedefender.comThe winner becomes the Democratic nominee to challenge the incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee, who is term-limited, with the primary winner facing steep odds in a Republican-dominated state.
tri-statedefender.comtnfirefly.comNote: Jerri Green is sometimes referred to as "Sherri Green" in some media reports, though campaign materials and official filings use "Jerri Green".
A Targoz Market Research survey confirmed Jerri Green as the frontrunner with 14% of the vote, nearly double Carnita Atwater's 8% share.
tnfirefly.compredictionedge.comA Beacon Poll found Jerri Green leads the Democratic primary field with 14% support, followed by Kevin Lee McCants at 11% and Carnita Atwater at 8%, while 62% of respondents were undecided.
beacontn.org270towin.comMemphis City Council member Jerri Green publicly announced her candidacy for Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race in Nashville, declaring she plans to win.
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Jerri Green leads all Democratic polling with 14% support, nearly double the 8% held by next-closest rival Carnita Atwater, establishing a clear frontrunner status.
tnfirefly.compredictionedge.comMarket traders assign Jerri Green an 87% probability of winning the primary, reflecting strong consensus on her name recognition and fundraising advantages in a low-turnout contest.
polymarket.comAs a first-term Memphis City Councilor and former public defender with legal counsel experience for Shelby County's mayor, Green possesses established local government credentials and name recognition in a major urban center.
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62% of Democratic primary voters remain undecided in the latest polls, indicating the field is still wide open and Green's lead could erode if other candidates gain traction.
tnfirefly.combeacontn.orgGreen holds only a 3-point lead over Kevin Lee McCants in the Beacon Poll, suggesting her margin is narrow and vulnerable to a shift in undecided voter preferences.
beacontn.orgIn hypothetical general election matchups, Green trails Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn by 24 points, raising concerns about her viability as a nominee who may struggle to win the statewide election.
AI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.