Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.9M Vol.Closes Nov 7, 2028
Democratic$841.8K Vol.59%
Republican$1.1M Vol.41%
The 2028 United States presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028, with the Democratic and Republican parties selecting nominees through primaries culminating in Super Tuesday on March 7, 2028.
cityandstatepa.comCurrent early polling identifies JD Vance as the Republican frontrunner and Kamala Harris as the Democratic frontrunner, with Marco Rubio and Gavin Newsom as their respective main alternatives.
2028tracker.comnewsweek.comAs of mid-2026, the primary fields remain unsettled and polling numbers largely reflect name recognition rather than finalized campaign positions.
2028tracker.comThe election will determine the next President of the United States, with the outcome decided by the party whose candidate secures 270 electoral votes.
270towin.comNote: All polling data cited is from early 2026 and reflects hypothetical primary scenarios; actual voter preferences may shift significantly as campaigns develop and candidates enter or exit the race.
Emerson College's late-May 2026 survey was the only recent poll to show JD Vance and Marco Rubio within a point (35.5% vs. 34.6%), though most polls give Vance a double-digit lead.
2028tracker.comOnline polling aggregators indicate JD Vance dominates Republican primary polls with support ranging from 29% to 47%, while Kamala Harris consistently leads Democratic polls with Gavin Newsom as his main alternative.
2028tracker.comyoutube.comA recent Echelon Insights survey shows Vice President JD Vance leading the Republican primary field with 42% of the vote, while Former Vice President Kamala Harris leads the Democratic field with 22%.
newsweek.comSuper Tuesday will hold primaries and caucuses across multiple states, serving as the first major consolidated test for 2028 candidates.
cityandstatepa.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
JD Vance leads every recent Republican primary poll with support ranging from 29% to 47%, often by double digits over competitors like Marco Rubio.
2028tracker.comKamala Harris has led most 2028 Democratic primary surveys consistently, with Gavin Newsom as the only candidate consistently ranking second.
2028tracker.comIn head-to-head hypothetical matchups, some early projections suggest a Republican candidate could win if the Democratic nominee is Gavin Newsom, with one model showing Newsom at 41% versus Rubio at 59%.
cityandstatepa.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
The 2028 primary fields are unsettled, and current polling numbers mostly reflect name recognition rather than substantive voter preference due to the election being over two years away.
2028tracker.comOnly one recent survey (Emerson, May 2026) showed the Republican race as competitive, while all other polls give JD Vance a significant double-digit advantage, indicating potential volatility if other candidates consolidate support.
2028tracker.comEarly market odds on prediction exchanges assign only a 16% chance to JD Vance and 11% to Gavin Newsom, suggesting the market views the outcome as highly uncertain with no clear probability leader.
kalshi.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.