Fed rate hike by...?
$1.3M Vol.Closes Oct 29, 2026
October Meeting$256.9K Vol.45%
September Meeting$337.2K Vol.36%
July Meeting$530.8K Vol.7%
The Federal Reserve is deciding whether to increase the upper bound of the target federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
fedratecalc.comThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), led by Chair Jerome Powell, determines the rate decision and announces it on October 28, 2026.
fedratecalc.comyoungplatform.comThe October meeting is the seventh of eight scheduled 2026 FOMC sessions and does not include a Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot).
fedratecalc.cominvestozora.comA rate hike would raise borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, potentially slowing economic growth and inflation, while maintaining rates keeps current monetary conditions in place.
Yahoo NewsNote: The October 27–28 meeting ends just 7 days before the 2026 presidential election, a timing historically associated with Fed restraint on major policy changes unless an economic emergency forces action.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the federal funds rate target at 3.50%–3.75% following its July 28–29, 2026 meeting, with no rate hike announced.
fedratecalc.comYahoo NewsEconomists continue to forecast potential rate cuts later in 2026 rather than hikes, citing uncertain specifics on the number and magnitude of reductions.
Yahoo NewsThe current target range for the federal funds rate remains at 3.5%–3.75%, with the next decision scheduled for the September 15–16 meeting.
fedratecalc.comYahoo NewsSeptember 15–16 FOMC meeting decision, which includes a Summary of Economic Projections and may set the directional tone for the October meeting.
fedratecalc.cominvestozora.comRelease of FOMC minutes from the September 15–16 meeting, providing detailed insights into committee deliberations.
smartcalendars.aisahmcapital.comOctober 27–28 FOMC meeting rate decision announcement at 2:00 PM ET, followed by Chair Powell’s press conference at 2:30 PM ET.
fedratecalc.comsmartcalendars.aiAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
The October meeting occurs just seven days before the presidential election, creating "election risk" that could compel the Fed to act if an economic emergency emerges, though historical policy typically avoids major changes this close to elections.
thebrrr.comThe committee will have two additional full months of economic data since September, potentially revealing inflationary pressures that justify a rate increase to maintain price stability.
investozora.comCurrent market expectations show a 92%+ probability of a "HOLD" at the October meeting, but the absence of a dot plot reduces transparency, leaving room for surprise policy shifts if data deteriorates.
thebrrr.comAI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.
The current federal funds rate target of 3.5%–3.75% reflects a stance where inflation is nearing the Fed’s 2% target, reducing the need for further hikes to combat inflation.
Yahoo NewsMost economists foresee rate cuts later in 2026 rather than hikes, suggesting the Fed’s policy trajectory is oriented toward easing rather than tightening monetary conditions.
Yahoo NewsThe October meeting does not include a Summary of Economic Projections, indicating the Fed may not view the economic outlook as requiring significant policy adjustment or new forward guidance.
AI-generated briefing. AI can make mistakes. This is not financial advice.