Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase56%
No change44%
$78.8M Vol.5 markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)89%
1 (25 bps)9%
$50.6M Vol.13 markets
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Hike 25bps59%
Fed maintains rate39%
$29.8M Vol.5 markets
Fed rate hike in 2026?
72% chance
$8.4M Vol.1 market
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts90%
Exactly 1 cut8%
$8M Vol.21 markets
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.0%39%
3.75%25%
$6.8M Vol.15 markets
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 202886%
Before July 202785%
$4.7M Vol.3 markets
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting11%
October Meeting3%
$3.3M Vol.3 markets
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting66%
September Meeting56%
$2.7M Vol.2 markets
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%25%
↓ 3.25%10%
$1.8M Vol.20 markets
Fed rate cut before 2027?
7% chance
$1.1M Vol.1 market
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
Above 3.50%98%
Above 3.75%60%
$1.1M Vol.11 markets
Fed Decision in October?
No change71%
25 bps increase27%
$1M Vol.5 markets
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other58%
Pause–Pause–Pause42%
$823K Vol.3 markets
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other68%
Pause–Pause–Pause29%
$733.8K Vol.5 markets
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
5% chance
$587.1K Vol.1 market
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase47%
No change45%
$461.8K Vol.5 markets
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
0 cuts95%
1 cuts2%
$447.2K Vol.5 markets
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
17% chance
$443.4K Vol.1 market
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Fed maintains rate69%
Hike 25bps28%
$429.1K Vol.5 markets