Fed Decision in July?
No change94%
25 bps increase5%
$71.4M Vol.5 markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)85%
1 (25 bps)12%
$43.3M Vol.13 markets
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
Fed maintains rate95%
Hike 25bps5%
$24.5M Vol.5 markets
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%31%
4.0%23%
$6.7M Vol.15 markets
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts80%
Exactly 1 cut16%
$6.3M Vol.21 markets
Fed rate hike in 2026?
54% chance
$4.2M Vol.1 market
Fed Decision in September?
No change59%
25 bps increase36%
$3.6M Vol.5 markets
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting17%
October Meeting11%
$2.9M Vol.4 markets
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 202878%
Before July 202767%
$2.7M Vol.3 markets
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
Above 3.50%98%
Above 3.75%7%
$1.9M Vol.11 markets
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%22%
↓ 3.25%18%
$1.7M Vol.20 markets
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting45%
September Meeting36%
$1.3M Vol.3 markets
Fed rate cut before 2027?
21% chance
$783.3K Vol.1 market
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause95%
Other5%
$712.9K Vol.3 markets
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
34% chance
$427.7K Vol.1 market
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause47%
Other46%
$408.7K Vol.9 markets
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause63%
Other35%
$322K Vol.5 markets
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
1% chance
$317.9K Vol.1 market
Fed Decision in October?
No change66%
25 bps increase19%
$260.5K Vol.5 markets
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%21%
5.0%9%
$251K Vol.6 markets